Risk Assessment With Lower Probabilities: Application to Toxic Wastes

Bruce Tonn
Carl Wagner

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DOI: 10.2190/KC2F-MA8A-DTRE-NQKR

Abstract

Traditional approaches to the quantitative analysis of uncertainty employ probabilities, although evidence to support the principled assessment of such additive measures is often lacking. We show how both optimization and conditionalization can be carried out using the less structured, hence more realistic, class of lower probabilities, illustrating these techniques with a problem involving toxic wastes.

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